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Is Bitcoin Part of Asset Allocation? LFG Daily - December 16, 2025

  • Writer: Luke Lloyd
    Luke Lloyd
  • Dec 16, 2025
  • 5 min read

Dream Bigger, Sleep Better


At Lloyd Financial Group, we’re constantly striving to give you more insight, more clarity, and more confidence when it comes to your money. Our Chief Investment Officer, Colin Symons, now delivers his own daily newsletter, offering deep analysis and a detailed outlook on the ever-changing investment world called Symons Says. Check it out and subscribe if you want a very detailed, daily analysis of the investment world. Colin has amazing content.


Meanwhile, the LFG Daily will continue to bring you quick, actionable summaries — blending market updates with financial planning and tax strategies to help you make smarter decisions every day. Together, they’re the perfect one-two punch: Colin brings the deep dive into Investments, we bring the daily edge.


Luke Lloyd, CEO Lloyd Financial Group


By now, everyone knows the headline.


“Bitcoin creates millionaires.”“Bitcoin changed my life.”“Bitcoin was the best investment of the last decade.”


And yes — that’s all true. A lot of money has been made. A lot of wealth has been created. Bitcoin didn’t just outperform most assets over the past 10–15 years — it embarrassed them.


But here’s where most people get it wrong.


The real financial planning question isn’t whether Bitcoin was a great investment.


The question is whether it will outperform the S&P 500 over the next 20 years.

Because if it does, then the conversation changes entirely.


Why Bitcoin Created So Much Wealth in the First Place


Bitcoin didn’t make millionaires because it was “cool” or because people finally understood blockchain.


It made millionaires because:

  • It was scarce (a fixed supply in a world of unlimited money printing)

  • It was early (most people ignored it when it mattered)

  • It was outside the system (no central bank, no government control)

  • And it benefited from exponential adoption


That’s how real wealth is created. Not by chasing headlines — but by owning something before it becomes obvious.


Early adopters weren’t smarter. They were simply willing to be uncomfortable when everyone else dismissed it.


The Only Question That Matters Going Forward


From a financial planning standpoint, this isn’t about whether Bitcoin goes up or down next year.


It’s about this:

Does Bitcoin outperform the S&P 500 over the next two decades?

If the answer is no, then Bitcoin becomes an interesting side asset.If the answer is yes, then Bitcoin becomes a structural part of long-term wealth building.


And I believe the odds favor Bitcoin — not because it’s perfect, but because of wealth separation.


Wealth Separation Is the Real Story


We’re living in a time where wealth is increasingly split into two groups:

  1. Those who own appreciating assets

  2. Those who rely solely on income and cash


That gap is widening.


Stocks, real estate, private businesses, and alternative assets have surged ahead — while wages struggle to keep up with inflation, taxes, and cost of living.


Bitcoin fits directly into this dynamic.


It’s not just a speculative asset. It’s a response to:

  • Currency debasement

  • Growing government debt

  • Lack of trust in institutions

  • And a system that rewards asset owners over savers


In other words, Bitcoin isn’t competing with the S&P 500 the way people think.

It’s competing as an alternative store of wealth in a world where owning nothing is becoming more expensive every year.


Why Bitcoin Could Outperform the S&P 500


The S&P 500 is phenomenal. It represents innovation, productivity, and capitalism at its best.

But it’s also:

  • Fully institutionalized

  • Heavily owned

  • Dependent on earnings growth, margins, and policy stability

Bitcoin, by contrast, is still:

  • Early in global adoption

  • Underowned by institutions and households

  • Limited in supply

  • Borderless and permissionless


If wealth continues to separate — and history suggests it will — assets that sit outside traditional systems often benefit disproportionately.


That doesn’t mean Bitcoin replaces stocks.It means Bitcoin coexists as a different kind of long-term bet.


This Is Where Financial Planning Actually Matters


Here’s the mistake people make:

They either go all in, or they ignore it completely.

Neither approach is planning.

Real financial planning asks:

  • How does Bitcoin fit into your balance sheet?

  • What percentage makes sense relative to risk tolerance?

  • How does it interact with taxes, retirement accounts, and time horizon?

  • What happens if it underperforms?

  • What happens if it dramatically outperforms?


Bitcoin isn’t about being right on Twitter.It’s about positioning intelligently in a changing world.

The money has already been made in Bitcoin — and the next chapter may still be ahead.

The real divide won’t be between people who “believed” in Bitcoin and those who didn’t.

It will be between people who understood wealth separation early enough to own appreciating assets — and those who stayed on the sidelines waiting for certainty.

In markets, certainty is usually the most expensive thing you can buy.


And good financial planning isn’t about predictions.

It’s about preparation.

Don’t leave your financial future up to chance. Let’s build a plan that gives you confidence today and peace of mind for tomorrow. Click here to schedule a meeting — I’m here to help you take the next step toward financial freedom.

Colin Symons, CIO Lloyd Financial Group


Growth, Inflation, Liquidity

Empire State Manufacturing was -3.9 vs. exp 10, with New Orders and Shipments falling.


Asian markets were hit amidst a stronger yen and tech weakness.


World PMIs saw India look good but Europe weak.


Yesterday was a safety day with Health Care and Utilities outperforming while stocks saw modest losses primarily from tech.


Retail Sales, Payrolls, and PMI today largely wrap up the big economic reports for the year, though we get CPI on Thursday.


What does it all mean?

Little news of consequence as we heal from AI trauma but data this morning may move markets.

Disclosures/Regulation:

This content is intended to provide general information about Lloyd Financial. It is not intended to offer or deliver investment advice in any way. Information regarding investment services are provided solely to gain an understanding of our investment philosophy, our strategies and to be able to contact us for further information.
All information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed. There is no representation or warranty as to the current accuracy, reliability or completeness of, nor liability for, decisions based on such information and it should not be relied on as such.

The views expressed in this commentary are subject to change based on market and other conditions. These documents may contain certain statements that may be deemed forward‐looking statements. Please note that any such statements are not guarantees of any future performance and actual results or developments may differ materially from those projected. Any projections, market outlooks, or estimates are based upon certain assumptions and should not be construed as indicative of actual events that will occur.

Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.

Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk. Therefore, it should not be assumed that future performance of any specific investment or investment strategy will be profitable.
 
 
 

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